Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.177908 0.199951 0.223037 0.248964 0.277211 0.306999 0.340726
2025-03-02 0.146292 0.175838 0.208377 0.246679 0.290331 0.338331 0.394896
2025-03-09 0.124645 0.158936 0.198383 0.246705 0.303867 0.368896 0.448003
2025-03-16 0.107165 0.144323 0.188805 0.245272 0.314292 0.395142 0.496185
2025-03-23 0.096342 0.136248 0.185731 0.250524 0.331961 0.429734 0.554687
2025-03-30 0.085257 0.126455 0.179306 0.250567 0.342502 0.455407 0.602664
2025-04-06 0.075850 0.117757 0.173277 0.250216 0.351883 0.479337 0.648639
2025-04-13 0.067865 0.110099 0.167795 0.249835 0.360677 0.502282 0.693528
2025-04-20 0.061817 0.104512 0.164528 0.251901 0.372349 0.528847 0.743346
2025-04-27 0.057976 0.101730 0.164821 0.258602 0.390169 0.563630 0.804400
2025-05-04 0.053198 0.097038 0.161939 0.260480 0.401199 0.589461 0.854082
2025-05-11 0.049425 0.093526 0.160449 0.264078 0.414494 0.618428 0.908357
2025-05-18 0.047112 0.092329 0.162572 0.273367 0.436632 0.660722 0.982639
2025-05-25 0.042282 0.086496 0.157158 0.271105 0.442053 0.680105 1.026270
2025-06-01 0.038492 0.082042 0.153540 0.271243 0.450782 0.704137 1.076673
2025-06-08 0.034772 0.077312 0.149097 0.269759 0.456887 0.724445 1.122188
2025-06-15 0.032775 0.075509 0.149289 0.275453 0.473779 0.760386 1.190218
2025-06-22 0.029963 0.071872 0.146115 0.275519 0.481997 0.783890 1.241016
2025-06-29 0.027352 0.068336 0.142832 0.275151 0.489390 0.806209 1.290416
2025-07-06 0.024984 0.065020 0.139671 0.274745 0.496577 0.828242 1.339687
2025-07-13 0.023211 0.062731 0.138166 0.276975 0.507881 0.856521 1.398437
2025-07-20 0.022252 0.062075 0.139584 0.284197 0.527291 0.897279 1.476096
2025-07-27 0.020694 0.059934 0.138070 0.286221 0.538292 0.925477 1.535679